AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
NYSEUSDEQUITY Financial Services DELAYED
Last price
74.44
▲ 0.16 (0.22%)
MARKET ·

Price

Open
74.28
Prev close
74.28
Day high
74.88
Day low
74.15
Volume
361.81K
Market cap
$3.27B
P/E (TTM)
9.90
52W range
72.76 – 92.40

Trailing performance

Price return · vs SPY
Returnvs SPY
1W
-3.06% -1.7%
1M
-11.58% -15.3%
3M
-5.38% -8.5%
6M
-15.78% -26.8%
YTD
-17.17% -29.5%
1Y
-8.11% -28.1%
3Y
+26.60% -47.6%
5Y

Price return only. Dividends are not reinvested, so total return on a dividend payer will be higher than shown.

Fundamentals

TTM · reported
Market cap$3.27B
Enterprise value$3.76B
Revenue (TTM)$813.00M
Gross profit$767.00M
EBITDA
Net income$348.00M
EPS (TTM)$7.52
Free cash flow$14.63M
Total cash$1.24B
Total debt$1.71B
Book value / share$126.25
Shares outstanding43.98M
Float41.30M
Short % of float6.44%
Dividend yield2.04%
Beta (5Y)0.74

Valuation & profitability ratios

Account required
Trailing P/E9.90
Forward P/E10.49
PEG ratio0.33
Price / sales
Price / book0.59
EV / revenue4.62
EV / EBITDA
Gross margin94.34%
Operating margin42.64%
Profit margin43.17%
Return on equity6.67%
Return on assets1.58%
Debt / equity30.56
Current ratio0.99
Free account required

Fourteen ratios including P/E, PEG, EV/EBITDA, margins and return on equity.

Financial statements

Annual · as reported
Last 4 fiscal years
Line item2025202420232022
Total revenue$1.11B$872.00M$1.37B$723.00M
Cost of revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross profit$0$0$0$0
R&D
SG&A
Operating income
Pre-tax income
Tax provision$0$0$0$0
Net income$0$376.00M$739.00M$124.00M
EBIT$0$0$0$0

Earnings

History & consensus estimates
Reported vs expected · EPS
QuarterEst.ActualSurprise
Jun 2026 1.601.23 -23.2%
Mar 2026 1.632.50 +53.4%
Dec 2025 1.562.32 +48.4%
Sep 2025 1.542.57 +67.2%
Forward consensus
PeriodEPSAnalystsRevenueGrowth
Current quarter 1.81 2 $203.35M -1.8%
Next quarter 1.85 2 $203.25M -26.6%
Current year 7.04 3 $851.60M -23.3%
Next year 7.10 3 $851.95M +0.0%

Analyst targets & ownership

Account required
Mean target$90.33
High target$97.00
Low target$80.00
Implied upside21.35%
Analyst count3
ConsensusBUY
Strong buy / Buy1 / 1
Hold1
Sell / Strong sell0 / 0
Held by insiders6.90%
Held by institutions96.48%
Institutions holding490
Free account required

Price targets, consensus spread, insider and institutional ownership.

Insider net activity

6m · Form 4 rollup
Net shares
+84.92K
Net buying
Buy transactions
26
310.93K shares
Sell transactions
6
226.02K shares
Net transactions
+32
Buys less sells
Sell : buy shares
0.7 : 1
Mixed
Insider-held shares
3.03M
Total on file
Bought 310.93KSold 226.02K

Insider transactions

Account required
DateInsiderAction SharesValueHeld
Jun 18, 26
BORGES FRANCISCO L
Director
STOCK 26.75K $0 Direct
May 29, 26
RADTKE LORIN P.T.
Director
SELL 1.05K $77.81K Direct
May 28, 26
BORGES FRANCISCO L
Director
STOCK 74 $0 Direct
May 21, 26
BORGES FRANCISCO L
Director
STOCK 427 $0 Direct
May 11, 26
BAILENSON ROBERT A
Chief Operating Officer
SELL 50.00K $3.93M Direct
May 1, 26
CHOW LING
Officer
STOCK 5.97K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
DONNARUMMA STEPHEN
Officer
STOCK 3.49K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
SHEA COURTNEY C.
Director
STOCK 1.76K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
RADTKE LORIN P.T.
Director
STOCK 2.42K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
HORN HOLLY
Officer
STOCK 2.75K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
URSANO ANTONIO JR
Director
STOCK 1.76K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
BATTEN MARK
Director
STOCK 2.24K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
KRECZKO ALAN J
Director
STOCK 3.94K $0 Direct
May 1, 26
HOWARD BONNIE L
Director
STOCK 1.76K $0 Direct
What this is, and what it is not

These are SEC Form 4 filings — officers, directors and 10% owners reporting their own trades in the company's stock. Filing is due within two business days of the transaction, so this lags reality by days, and the provider adds its own lag on top.

A sale is not automatically bearish. Executives sell on scheduled 10b5-1 plans, to cover tax on vesting equity, and to diversify. Purchases with cash are generally the more informative signal, and they are far rarer.

This does not include congressional or senate trading. That comes from STOCK Act disclosures filed with the Senate eFD system and the House Clerk, which this data source does not carry.

Free account required

Officer and director trades in their own stock, straight from Form 4 filings.

Moving averages & technicals

Computed from 2Y daily closes
SMA 10
75.47
-1.36% from price
SMA 20
79.21
-6.02% from price
SMA 50
80.32
-7.32% from price
SMA 100
79.84
-6.76% from price
SMA 200
83.31
-10.65% from price
EMA 12
76.58
-2.79% from price
EMA 26
78.61
-5.31% from price
EMA 50
79.54
-6.42% from price
RSI (14)
31.5
Neutral
MACD (12,26,9)
-2.03
Hist -0.55
ATR (14)
1.93
2.59% of price
Realised vol 30D
30.4%
Annualised
Bollinger upper
87.69
20, 2σ
Bollinger lower
70.73
20, 2σ
50 / 200 cross
Death
80.32 vs 83.31
Trend bias
Below 200
-10.65%

Risk profile

Daily returns · 1Y window
Beta vs SPY
0.13
Less volatile than market
Correlation to SPY
0.07
Largely independent
Realised vol 30D
30.4%
Annualised
Market vol 1Y
12.9%
SPY, annualised
Max drawdown 1Y
-20.6%
Peak to trough
Max drawdown 5Y
-30.6%
Peak to trough
ATR 14
1.93
2.59% of price
Beta (reported)
0.74
5Y monthly, from filing

Unusual options activity

Account required
Flagged2
Total notional$2.25M
Call notional$0
Put notional$2.25M
Tiltput-weighted
Likely opening2 of 2
SideStrikeExpiryVolumeOpen int. Vol / OINotionalIV PrintScore
PUT 105.00 Oct 16, 26
54d
513 378 1.4× $1.46M 75% at bid
65
PUT 100.00 Oct 16, 26
54d
339 226 1.5× $793.26K 68% at bid
63
How this is calculated, and what it cannot see

A contract is flagged when today's volume approaches or exceeds its open interest, the position is worth at least $40,000, and at least 150 contracts changed hands. Open interest is what was outstanding at yesterday's close, so volume above it means the flow cannot all be closing — something is being opened.

The score weights four things: volume against open interest, dollar notional, volume against the rest of that chain, and where the last print sat inside the bid/ask spread.

What it cannot see. Volume here is a daily total, so ten small orders and one large one are indistinguishable — this is not block or sweep detection, which needs exchange-level time and sales. The print column compares the last trade to the current quote, which is a proxy for who was the aggressor, not a tagged flag. Quotes are delayed. A single large trade can be a hedge, a roll, or one leg of a spread, and none of those mean what a naked directional bet would mean.

Free account required

Contracts trading at or above their open interest, ranked by notional and where the print landed.

Options analytics

Account required
Put / call volume
Put / call open interest
73.71
Positioning, not flow
Max pain
80.00
+7.5% from spot
ATM implied vol
35.9%
Nearest strike to spot
Skew (10% OTM)
+1.9%
Puts bid over calls
Call volume
0
Contracts, this expiry
Put volume
19
Contracts, this expiry
Heaviest call OI
80.00
4 contracts
Heaviest put OI
80.00
184 contracts

Max pain is the strike at which the largest dollar value of open contracts expires worthless. It describes current positioning; it is not a forecast and it moves as open interest changes.

Free account required

Put/call ratios, max pain, implied volatility skew and where open interest is concentrated.

Options chain

Account required
ExpirySpot 74.44
Calls
StrikeLastBidAskVolOIIV
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
Puts
StrikeLastBidAskVolOIIV
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
000.000.000.000.00000.0%
Free account required

Every listed expiry, both sides of the book, with volume, open interest and implied volatility.

PRIVATE STRATEGY · BY QUALIFICATION

The same data. A different seat.

The research you are reading is the input layer for a discretionary options program we run for a small number of qualified investors. Minimum $1,000,000.