AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
NYSEUSDEQUITY
Financial Services
DELAYED
Sell
-28/100
Last price
69.43
▲ 0.30 (0.43%)
MARKET · —
Price
Chart style
Interval
Intraday intervals only cover recent history. The site picks the finest interval the range allows.
Overlays
Session levels
Lower pane
Overlay another symbol
Both series are rebased to 0% at the left edge, so the lines show relative performance rather than price.
Tool
1D
—
H —
L —
Range —
Vol —
vs
Drag pan · Pinch zoom · Hold crosshair · pick a tool then drag to draw
Open
69.11
Prev close
69.13
Day high
69.44
Day low
68.40
Volume
439.71K
Market cap
$3.05B
P/E (TTM)
9.25
52W range
67.24 – 92.40
Day trading desk
Gap from prior close
-0.03%
Prior close 69.13
VWAP
69.29
+0.20% from price
Relative volume
1.77×
Unusually busy
Session range
1.52%
68.40 – 69.44
Position in range
99%
Near session high
ATR (14D)
1.43
2.06% of price
Prior day high
69.44
PDH
Prior day low
68.10
PDL
Bid / ask spread
—
Quote not published
Session volume
743.50K
Avg 419.25K
VWAP and the session figures are computed from the delayed intraday series on this page, so they lag the live tape and will not match a broker's real-time VWAP exactly. Turn on Prior day H/L/C, Opening range and Volume profile in the chart's Studies menu to see these levels drawn on price.
Trailing performance
Returnvs SPY
1W
+0.67%
-1.3%
1M
-8.27%
-9.4%
3M
-16.10%
-20.6%
6M
-15.19%
-33.4%
YTD
-22.74%
-37.0%
1Y
-17.62%
-34.0%
3Y
+14.72%
-67.5%
5Y
—
—
Price return only. Dividends are not reinvested, so total return on a dividend payer will be higher than shown.
Unusual options activity
Nothing crossed the thresholds in the expiries we scanned.
That is the normal state — most contracts trade well inside their existing open interest.
That is the normal state — most contracts trade well inside their existing open interest.
Contracts trading at or above their open interest, ranked by notional and where the print landed.
Free account
5 more panels on AGO open with an account.
Options chains and analytics, valuation ratios, insider filings, analyst targets and ownership. No card, no trial, nothing to cancel.
Insider net activity
Net shares
+76.84K
Net buying
Buy transactions
18
127.89K shares
Sell transactions
2
51.05K shares
Net transactions
+20
Buys less sells
Sell : buy shares
0.4 : 1
Mixed
Insider-held shares
3.02M
Total on file
Insider transactions
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | FREDERICO DOMINIC J Chief Executive Officer |
STOCK | 23.33K | $0 | Direct |
| Jun 18, 26 | BORGES FRANCISCO L Director |
STOCK | 26.75K | $0 | Direct |
| May 29, 26 | RADTKE LORIN P.T. Director |
SELL | 1.05K | $77.81K | Direct |
| May 28, 26 | BORGES FRANCISCO L Director |
STOCK | 74 | $0 | Direct |
| May 21, 26 | BORGES FRANCISCO L Director |
STOCK | 427 | $0 | Direct |
| May 11, 26 | BAILENSON ROBERT A Chief Operating Officer |
SELL | 50.00K | $3.93M | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | KRECZKO ALAN J Director |
STOCK | 3.94K | $0 | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | HOWARD BONNIE L Director |
STOCK | 1.76K | $0 | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | BAILENSON ROBERT A Chief Operating Officer |
STOCK | 7.81K | $0 | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | OMURA YUKIKO Director |
STOCK | 1.76K | $0 | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | CHOW LING Officer |
STOCK | 5.97K | $0 | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | DONNARUMMA STEPHEN Officer |
STOCK | 3.49K | $0 | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | SHEA COURTNEY C. Director |
STOCK | 1.76K | $0 | Direct |
| May 1, 26 | RADTKE LORIN P.T. Director |
STOCK | 2.42K | $0 | Direct |
What this is, and what it is not
These are SEC Form 4 filings — officers, directors and 10% owners reporting their own trades in the company's stock. Filing is due within two business days of the transaction, so this lags reality by days, and the provider adds its own lag on top.
A sale is not automatically bearish. Executives sell on scheduled 10b5-1 plans, to cover tax on vesting equity, and to diversify. Purchases with cash are generally the more informative signal, and they are far rarer.
This does not include congressional or senate trading. That comes from STOCK Act disclosures filed with the Senate eFD system and the House Clerk, which this data source does not carry.
Officer and director trades in their own stock, straight from Form 4 filings.
Insider holders
| Name | Relation | Shares held | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|
BAILENSON ROBERT A |
Chief Operating Officer | 256.25K | Sale |
BORGES FRANCISCO L |
Director | 153.11K | Stock Gift |
CHOW LING |
Officer | 195.57K | Stock Award(Grant) |
DONNARUMMA STEPHEN |
Officer | 121.09K | Stock Award(Grant) |
FREDERICO DOMINIC J |
Chief Executive Officer | 1.63M | Stock Gift |
HORN HOLLY |
Officer | 52.57K | Stock Award(Grant) |
HOWARD BONNIE L |
Director | 47.40K | Stock Award(Grant) |
JONES THOMAS W |
Director | 47.30K | Stock Award(Grant) |
KRECZKO ALAN J |
Director | 70.05K | Stock Award(Grant) |
ROSENBLUM BENJAMIN G |
Chief Financial Officer | 64.46K | Stock Award(Grant) |
Fundamentals
Market cap$3.05B
Enterprise value$3.54B
Revenue (TTM)$813.00M
Gross profit$767.00M
EBITDA—
Net income$348.00M
EPS (TTM)$7.51
Free cash flow$14.63M
Total cash$1.24B
Total debt$1.71B
Book value / share$126.25
Shares outstanding43.98M
Float41.33M
Short % of float7.74%
Dividend yield2.19%
Beta (5Y)0.72
Valuation & profitability ratios
Trailing P/E9.25
Forward P/E9.86
PEG ratio0.33
Price / sales—
Price / book0.55
EV / revenue4.35
EV / EBITDA—
Gross margin94.34%
Operating margin42.64%
Profit margin43.17%
Return on equity6.67%
Return on assets1.58%
Debt / equity30.56
Current ratio0.99
Fourteen ratios including P/E, PEG, EV/EBITDA, margins and return on equity.
Financial statements
| Line item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | $1.02B | $814.00M | $1.01B | $684.00M | +25.9% |
| Operating revenue | $1.02B | $814.00M | $1.01B | $684.00M | +25.9% |
| Selling, general & admin | $209.00M | $202.00M | $251.00M | $258.00M | +3.5% |
| Net interest income | -$89.00M | -$91.00M | -$90.00M | -$81.00M | +2.2% |
| Pre-tax income | $662.00M | $488.00M | $668.00M | $148.00M | +35.7% |
| Tax provision | $119.00M | $96.00M | -$93.00M | $11.00M | +24.0% |
| Net income | $503.00M | $376.00M | $739.00M | $124.00M | +33.8% |
| Net income to common | $499.00M | $373.00M | $733.00M | $123.00M | +33.8% |
| Basic EPS | 11.13 | 7.44 | 12.54 | 2.10 | +49.5% |
| Diluted EPS | 10.26 | 7.44 | 12.30 | 1.92 | +37.8% |
| EBIT | $751.00M | $579.00M | $758.00M | $229.00M | +29.7% |
| Basic shares | 45.18M | 50.51M | 58.40M | 59.01M | -10.5% |
| Diluted shares | 48.70M | 50.51M | 59.60M | 63.90M | -3.6% |
| Line item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | $388.00M | $121.00M | $97.00M | $107.00M | — | +220.7% |
| Cash & short-term investments | $2.31B | $7.71B | $8.06B | $8.04B | — | -70.0% |
| Accounts receivable | $2.02B | $1.95B | $1.77B | $1.55B | — | +3.8% |
| Property, plant & equipment | — | $101.00M | $366.00M | $5.49B | $5.27B | — |
| Goodwill & intangibles | — | — | $6.00M | $163.00M | $175.00M | — |
| Total assets | $12.18B | $11.90B | $12.54B | $16.84B | — | +2.3% |
| Current debt | — | — | — | — | $0 | — |
| Long-term debt | $1.70B | $1.70B | $1.69B | $1.68B | — | +0.3% |
| Total debt | $1.70B | $1.70B | $1.69B | $1.68B | — | +0.3% |
| Total liabilities | $6.39B | $6.35B | $6.77B | $11.55B | — | +0.6% |
| Retained earnings | $5.83B | $5.88B | $6.07B | $5.58B | — | -0.8% |
| Shareholder equity | $5.66B | $5.50B | $5.71B | $5.06B | — | +3.1% |
| Net tangible assets | $5.66B | $5.50B | $5.71B | $4.90B | — | +3.1% |
| Shares issued | 45.18M | 50.51M | 56.22M | 59.01M | — | -10.5% |
| Line item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | $543.00M | $392.00M | $761.00M | $137.00M | +38.5% |
| Change in working capital | -$75.00M | -$247.00M | -$136.00M | -$1.32B | +69.6% |
| Operating cash flow | $259.00M | $47.00M | $461.00M | -$2.48B | +451.1% |
| Investing cash flow | $641.00M | $780.00M | $286.00M | $1.74B | -17.8% |
| Share buybacks | -$500.00M | -$502.00M | -$199.00M | -$500.00M | +0.4% |
| Dividends paid | -$68.00M | -$68.00M | -$67.00M | -$64.00M | 0.0% |
| Financing cash flow | -$616.00M | -$983.00M | -$670.00M | $612.00M | +37.3% |
| Free cash flow | $259.00M | $47.00M | $461.00M | -$2.48B | +451.1% |
| End cash position | $419.00M | $128.00M | $286.00M | $207.00M | +227.3% |
| Line item | 2026-06-30 | 2026-03-31 | 2025-12-31 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-06-30 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | $202.00M | $257.00M | $213.00M | $199.00M | $278.00M | -21.4% |
| Operating revenue | $202.00M | $257.00M | $213.00M | $199.00M | $278.00M | -21.4% |
| Selling, general & admin | $57.00M | $63.00M | $49.00M | $50.00M | $50.00M | -9.5% |
| Net interest income | -$22.00M | -$22.00M | -$22.00M | -$22.00M | -$23.00M | 0.0% |
| Pre-tax income | $49.00M | $65.00M | $165.00M | $135.00M | $133.00M | -24.6% |
| Tax provision | $9.00M | -$20.00M | $27.00M | $21.00M | $27.00M | +145.0% |
| Net income | $39.00M | $88.00M | $119.00M | $105.00M | $103.00M | -55.7% |
| Net income to common | $39.00M | $87.00M | $117.00M | $104.00M | $103.00M | -55.2% |
| Basic EPS | 0.89 | 1.97 | 2.63 | 2.25 | 2.14 | -55.1% |
| Diluted EPS | 0.88 | 1.91 | 2.53 | 2.18 | 2.08 | -53.9% |
| EBIT | $71.00M | $87.00M | $187.00M | $157.00M | $156.00M | -18.4% |
| Basic shares | 44.06M | 44.59M | 45.18M | 46.71M | 48.11M | -1.2% |
| Diluted shares | 44.60M | 45.40M | 46.60M | 48.00M | 49.40M | -1.8% |
| Line item | 2026-06-30 | 2026-03-31 | 2025-12-31 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-06-30 | 2025-03-31 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | $310.00M | $312.00M | $388.00M | $157.00M | $301.00M | — | -0.6% |
| Cash & short-term investments | $2.29B | $2.21B | $2.31B | $2.49B | $2.15B | — | +3.7% |
| Accounts receivable | $1.95B | $1.98B | $2.02B | $2.04B | $2.01B | — | -1.5% |
| Property, plant & equipment | — | — | — | — | $121.00M | $119.00M | — |
| Total assets | $12.64B | $12.63B | $12.18B | $12.10B | $12.10B | — | +0.0% |
| Long-term debt | $1.71B | $1.71B | $1.70B | $1.70B | $1.70B | — | +0.1% |
| Total debt | $1.71B | $1.71B | $1.70B | $1.70B | $1.70B | — | +0.1% |
| Total liabilities | $7.06B | $7.07B | $6.39B | $6.36B | $6.37B | — | -0.2% |
| Retained earnings | $5.81B | $5.82B | $5.83B | $5.84B | $5.86B | — | -0.2% |
| Shareholder equity | $5.56B | $5.54B | $5.66B | $5.66B | $5.63B | — | +0.3% |
| Net tangible assets | $5.56B | $5.54B | $5.66B | $5.66B | $5.63B | — | +0.3% |
| Shares issued | 44.06M | 44.59M | 45.18M | 46.71M | 48.11M | — | -1.2% |
| Line item | 2026-06-30 | 2026-03-31 | 2025-12-31 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-06-30 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $40.00M | $190.00M | $39.00M | $55.00M | $78.00M | -78.9% |
| Investing cash flow | $25.00M | -$60.00M | $363.00M | -$73.00M | $217.00M | +141.7% |
| Share buybacks | -$45.00M | -$75.00M | -$131.00M | -$118.00M | -$131.00M | +40.0% |
| Dividends paid | -$17.00M | -$19.00M | -$15.00M | -$17.00M | -$17.00M | +10.5% |
| Financing cash flow | -$66.00M | -$214.00M | -$149.00M | -$140.00M | -$157.00M | +69.2% |
| Free cash flow | $40.00M | $190.00M | $39.00M | $55.00M | $78.00M | -78.9% |
| End cash position | $331.00M | $333.00M | $419.00M | $164.00M | $325.00M | -0.6% |
Options analytics
Put / call volume
4.71
Put-heavy session
Put / call open interest
4.43
Positioning, not flow
Max pain
55.00
-20.8% from spot
ATM implied vol
1.6%
Nearest strike to spot
Skew (10% OTM)
+12.5%
Puts bid over calls
Call volume
35
Contracts, this expiry
Put volume
165
Contracts, this expiry
Heaviest call OI
95.00
3 contracts
Heaviest put OI
55.00
19 contracts
Max pain is the strike at which the largest dollar value of open contracts expires worthless. It describes current positioning; it is not a forecast and it moves as open interest changes.
Put/call ratios, max pain, implied volatility skew and where open interest is concentrated.
Earnings
Reported vs expected · EPS
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | 1.60 | 1.23 | -23.2% |
| Mar 2026 | 1.63 | 2.50 | +53.4% |
| Dec 2025 | 1.56 | 2.32 | +48.4% |
| Sep 2025 | 1.54 | 2.57 | +67.2% |
Forward consensus
| Period | EPS | Analysts | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter | 1.70 | 3 | $205.70M | -0.6% |
| Next quarter | 1.79 | 3 | $208.28M | -24.8% |
| Current year | 7.02 | 3 | $883.65M | -20.4% |
| Next year | 7.04 | 3 | $843.63M | -4.5% |
Analyst targets & ownership
Mean target$91.00
High target$97.00
Low target$85.00
Implied upside31.07%
Analyst count3
ConsensusSTRONG BUY
Strong buy / Buy1 / 2
Hold0
Sell / Strong sell0 / 0
Held by insiders6.87%
Held by institutions96.81%
Institutions holding489
Price targets, consensus spread, insider and institutional ownership.
Moving averages & technicals
SMA 10
68.83
+0.88% from price
SMA 20
70.26
-1.19% from price
SMA 50
74.59
-6.92% from price
SMA 100
76.82
-9.61% from price
SMA 200
80.78
-14.05% from price
EMA 12
69.45
-0.03% from price
EMA 26
71.15
-2.42% from price
EMA 50
73.53
-5.58% from price
RSI (14)
39.1
Neutral
MACD (12,26,9)
-1.70
Hist 0.17
ATR (14)
1.43
2.06% of price
Realised vol 30D
18.9%
Annualised
Bollinger upper
73.53
20, 2σ
Bollinger lower
67.00
20, 2σ
50 / 200 cross
Death
74.59 vs 80.78
Trend bias
Below 200
-14.05%
Options chain
Calls
| Strike | Last | Bid | Ask | Vol | OI | IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
Puts
| Strike | Last | Bid | Ask | Vol | OI | IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
Every listed expiry, both sides of the book, with volume, open interest and implied volatility.
Risk profile
Beta vs SPY
0.15
Less volatile than market
Correlation to SPY
0.08
Largely independent
Realised vol 30D
18.9%
Annualised
Market vol 1Y
13.0%
SPY, annualised
Max drawdown 1Y
-26.5%
Peak to trough
Max drawdown 5Y
-30.6%
Peak to trough
ATR 14
1.43
2.06% of price
Beta (reported)
0.72
5Y monthly, from filing
Short interest
Shares short
2.28M
Prior 2.16M
Change vs prior
+5.4%
Shorts adding
% of float
7.74%
Normal
% of shares out
5.18%
Against total outstanding
Days to cover
5.8
Crowded exit
Float
41.33M
Freely tradeable shares
Exchanges publish short interest twice a month with a settlement lag, so this is roughly two weeks behind. Days to cover divides shares short by average daily volume — it estimates how long covering would take, not whether it will happen.
Rating changes
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 26 | Roth Capital | UPGRADE | Neutral | Buy |
| Aug 13, 26 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | MAINTAINED | Outperform | Outperform |
| Jul 17, 26 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | MAINTAINED | Outperform | Outperform |
| May 19, 26 | UBS | UPGRADE | Neutral | Buy |
| Mar 19, 26 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | MAINTAINED | Outperform | Outperform |
| Nov 19, 25 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | MAINTAINED | Outperform | Outperform |
| Nov 17, 25 | UBS | MAINTAINED | Neutral | Neutral |
| Aug 13, 25 | UBS | MAINTAINED | Neutral | Neutral |
| Nov 18, 24 | UBS | MAINTAINED | Neutral | Neutral |
| Nov 18, 24 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | MAINTAINED | Outperform | Outperform |
| Oct 17, 24 | UBS | MAINTAINED | Neutral | Neutral |
| Aug 9, 24 | UBS | MAINTAINED | Neutral | Neutral |
Dividends & splits
Forward rate$1.52 / yr
Forward yield2.19%
5-year avg yield1.61%
Payout ratio19.17%
Ex-dividend dateAug 20, 2026
Next pay dateSep 3, 2026
Last split—
Split date—
SEC filings
Corporate Changes & Voting Matters
8-K · 2026-08-07
Corporate Changes & Voting Matters
8-K · 2026-08-06
Offering Registrations
S-3ASR · 2026-05-28
Corporate Changes & Voting Matters
8-K · 2026-05-08
Corporate Changes & Voting Matters
8-K · 2026-05-07
Corporate Changes & Voting Matters
8-K · 2026-05-05
Proxy Statements
DEFA14A · 2026-04-13
Corporate Changes & Voting Matters
8-K · 2026-03-23
Headlines
Assured Guaranty (AGO) Stock Still Seems Undervalued Despite Its 55% Five Year Gain
Simply Wall St. · 7d ago
Assured Guaranty Faces Enhancing Recovery Prospects Relating to Brightline Bankruptcy, UBS Says
MT Newswires · 9d ago
Florida Railroad Brightline Files for Bankruptcy to Cut Heavy Debt Burden
The Wall Street Journal · 12d ago
Twilio downgraded, Synopsys upgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
The Fly · 12d ago
Sector Update: Financial Stocks Rise Premarket Friday
MT Newswires · 12d ago
Brightline reworks debt in bankruptcy court but its high-speed trains will keep running in Florida
Associated Press · 12d ago
Assured Guaranty Commits $248 Million to Support Brightline Florida Restructuring
MT Newswires · 12d ago
Brightline Florida Reaches Agreement on Financial Restructuring, Securing $490 Million in New Financing Commitments and Significantly Reducing Debt
PR Newswire · 12d ago
PRIVATE STRATEGY · BY QUALIFICATION
The same data. A different seat.
The research you are reading is the input layer for a discretionary options program we run for a small number of qualified investors. Minimum $1,000,000.